golf digest picks: this week

His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. Lowry did get back on track last week in Los Angeles, finishing T-14. All rights reserved. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. The model also included J.T. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Instead, the golfing world is heading to Vidanta Vallarta for the first time to play the Mexico Open this week. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! All Rights Reserved. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). The pro-am event, once known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic, has an average winning score of 24 under par over the past 10 years. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). I think theyre all viable plays, but the rest of the field is justifiably a tier behind them. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. managing editor: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Nobody has been better over the past 24 rounds than Finau, whos third in SG/approach, sixth in SG/off the tee and 12th in putting. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Bethpage State Park Golf Course 6. On this page, youll find all the golf DFS Content you need for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo, SuperDraft and FantasyDraft including: The First Cut: A comprehensive preview of the week to come, including a course breakdown, DFS slate breakdown, field breakdown, and so much more. 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. Palmer was able to grab World No. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. For live odds, visit BetMGM. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Thats a tough scene. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Rory McIlroy, No. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Yes, hes first in SG/total. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Must be nice. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Hes gained more than 10 strokes to the field in nine of his past 10 starts worldwide, which is a staggering number. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). He was T3 and only two strokes back entering the finale. Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. (Subscribe for video or audio.) 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. RELATED:10 golfers who will make you money in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. Another team with great chemistry. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Millions in Winnings and Counting. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. ): 1. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. Take me to the League of Legends category page! Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. After seemingly making strides with his approach play in La Jolla and Phoenix, he took a few steps backlosing 2.90 strokes on approach at Riviera. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. 1. Torrey Pines South 5. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (-125) over Justin Lower (Bet365) Lower has had a solid start to the fall, but Rai is more proven long-term and over the past 24 rounds has better strokes gained/off the tee and approach numbers than Lower. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. World No. Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. , I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? Each lineup consists of four starters and two ET, with world No. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. Spaun odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Wise odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Thriston Lawrence odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls odds, picks and predictions, Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions, New York Knicks at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions, Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions, Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions, New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions, Portland Trail Blazers at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. 1 DFS Player. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T.

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