fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views 9 days ago. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn Its October and the surprises are rolling in. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. The State Of The Polls, 2016. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. [00:00:19] They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. It's a busy week! NEW TOWN . 0:00:00 This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. 450 episodes. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Instagram did not return a 200. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. They consider how much. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. The Supreme Court Not So Much. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts 10 Wednesday AM Reads. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. 01:06 PM. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.".

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